Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 5.219141 5.674890 6.183363 6.799464 7.535365 8.399218 9.510725
2025-02-02 5.002570 5.684209 6.511849 7.621386 9.123789 11.182572 14.427226
2025-02-09 4.651524 5.463742 6.517402 8.055999 10.397599 14.176958 21.886973
2025-02-16 4.311140 5.200028 6.417722 8.334620 11.599006 17.907076 36.383349
2025-02-23 3.996571 4.924217 6.253248 8.486829 12.718036 22.678014 74.188801
2025-03-02 3.605962 4.493889 5.797514 8.071432 12.667121 25.066306 145.909292
2025-03-09 3.346071 4.222463 5.544616 7.951419 13.212818 30.332622 4166.203006
2025-03-16 3.058307 3.882184 5.141349 7.481888 12.808421 32.110923 NaN
2025-03-23 2.913163 3.741694 5.041490 7.564062 13.827925 43.568542 NaN
2025-03-30 2.757268 3.570417 4.869644 7.470821 14.375751 56.657203 NaN
2025-04-06 2.596261 3.378473 4.642250 7.221745 14.371247 67.687232 NaN
2025-04-13 2.429462 3.166533 4.361768 6.817127 13.723651 69.245738 NaN
2025-04-20 2.370133 3.134195 4.415060 7.208333 16.294921 256.416267 NaN
2025-04-27 2.370207 3.198578 4.655119 8.134155 22.795146 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 2.312567 3.162178 4.704119 8.631252 29.260506 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 2.240794 3.095328 4.685170 8.953225 36.746509 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 2.163029 3.011505 4.621094 9.131402 45.256903 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 2.045622 2.849272 4.375459 8.662359 43.437227 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 1.962687 2.743581 4.239892 8.528873 47.461639 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 1.859370 2.595587 4.001446 7.999796 42.711316 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 1.807170 2.536602 3.948803 8.094015 51.653755 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 1.746264 2.458117 3.846237 7.989918 56.856127 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 1.678980 2.364550 3.703058 7.710191 55.964836 NaN NaN